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Aberafan Maesteg

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Stephen Kinnock	Labour Party	17838
2	Mark Griffiths	Reform UK	7484
3	Colin John Deere	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	4719
4	Abigail Mainon	Conservative Party	2903
5	Nigel Hill	Green Party	1094
6	Justin Mark Griffiths	Liberal Democrats	916
7	Captain Beany	Independent	618
8	Rhiannon Morrissey	Heritage Party	183

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
9.16%	52.09%	5.48%	4.42%	12.39%	13.37%	0.00%	3.09%	Labour	Safe Labour
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
10.25%	53.12%	2.95%	8.73%	16.61%	7.10%	0.00%	1.24%	Labour	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
12.67%	53.45%	3.02%	4.86%	15.01%	10.67%	0.00%	0.31%	Labour	Strong Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
16.50%	65.70%	1.70%	1.10%	8.30%	3.40%	0.00%	3.30%	Labour	N/A

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Kirsty Blackman	Scottish National Party (SNP)	14533
2	Lynn Thomson	Labour Party	12773
3	Gillian Tebberen	Conservative Party	5881
4	Kenneth Leggat	Reform UK	3781
5	Desmond Bouse	Liberal Democrats	2583
6	Esme Houston	Scottish Green Party	1275
7	Charlie Abel	Alba Party	703
8	Dawn Smith	Scottish Family Party	352
9	Lucas Grant	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	214

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
11.19%	25.00%	3.35%	8.07%	6.09%	0.00%	39.65%	6.66%	SNP	Likely SNP
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
14.23%	27.66%	5.29%	3.72%	7.78%	0.00%	40.08%	1.23%	SNP	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
13.95%	34.88%	4.89%	2.81%	6.38%	0.00%	36.30%	0.80%	SNP	Too close to call SNP
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
14.00%	23.30%	8.00%	5.20%	5.80%	0.00%	40.60%	3.30%	SNP	N/A

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Stephen Flynn	Scottish National Party (SNP)	15213
2	M. Tauqeer Malik	Labour Party	11455
3	John Wheeler	Conservative Party	11300
4	Michael Pearce	Reform UK	3199
5	Jeff Goodhall	Liberal Democrats	2921
6	Guy Ingerson	Scottish Green Party	1609
7	Graeme Craib	Scottish Family Party	423
8	Sophie Molly	Independent	225

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
20.22%	23.88%	4.72%	8.64%	4.26%	0.00%	34.38%	3.91%	SNP	Likely SNP
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
20.07%	23.50%	13.37%	4.64%	4.02%	0.00%	32.98%	1.42%	SNP	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
21.07%	32.63%	6.41%	2.23%	5.26%	0.00%	31.57%	0.83%	Labour	Too close to call Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
18.80%	19.50%	11.60%	4.40%	5.70%	0.00%	35.80%	4.10%	SNP	N/A

Aberdeenshire North and Moray East

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Seamus Logan	Scottish National Party (SNP)	13455
2	Douglas Gordon Ross	Conservative Party	12513
3	Jo Hart	Reform UK	5562
4	Andy Brown	Labour Party	3876
5	Ian Bailey	Liberal Democrats	2782

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
36.69%	17.33%	2.94%	3.88%	7.08%	0.00%	31.27%	0.81%	Conservatives	Lean Conservatives
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
33.46%	10.36%	9.93%	0.00%	10.96%	0.00%	35.29%	0.00%	SNP	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
33.08%	28.93%	3.40%	0.00%	4.85%	0.00%	29.75%	0.00%	Conservatives	Too close to call Conservative
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
37.20%	12.20%	7.40%	0.00%	5.80%	0.00%	37.50%	0.00%	SNP	N/A

Airdrie and Shotts

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Kenneth Stevenson	Labour Party	18871
2	Anum Qaisar-Javed	Scottish National Party (SNP)	11324
3	David Hall	Reform UK	2971
4	Alexandra Herdman	Conservative Party	1696
5	Lewis Younie	Liberal Democrats	725
6	Josh Robertson	Alba Party	623
7	John Jo Leckie	British Unionist Party - B.U.P.	456

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
1.15%	51.49%	2.67%	6.13%	2.79%	0.00%	30.07%	5.71%	Labour	Likely Labour
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
11.27%	42.81%	2.19%	0.00%	1.76%	0.00%	39.96%	2.01%	Labour	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
9.94%	46.18%	2.04%	0.00%	2.19%	0.00%	38.66%	0.99%	Labour	Lean Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
9.60%	49.20%	2.30%	0.00%	5.50%	0.00%	31.40%	2.00%	Labour	N/A

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Alex Baker	Labour Party	19764
2	Leo Docherty	Conservative Party	14081
3	Trevor Lloyd-Jones	Reform UK	8210
4	Paul Harris	Liberal Democrats	4052
5	Edward John Neville	Green Party	2155
6	Steve James-Bailey	Hampshire Independents	282

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
32.55%	38.10%	10.55%	6.10%	11.88%	0.00%	0.00%	0.83%	Labour	Lean Labour
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
34.04%	28.54%	18.14%	4.95%	12.16%	0.00%	0.00%	2.17%	Conservatives	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
31.19%	38.70%	13.10%	2.89%	13.99%	0.00%	0.00%	0.13%	Labour	Lean Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
37.10%	31.90%	14.60%	4.80%	9.90%	0.00%	0.00%	1.70%	Conservatives	N/A

Aldridge-Brownhills

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Wendy Morton	Conservative Party	15901
2	Luke John Davies	Labour Party	11670
3	Graham Eardley	Reform UK	9903
4	Ian Garrett	Liberal Democrats	1755
5	Clare Nash	Green Party	1746

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
40.19%	34.78%	4.83%	4.44%	14.96%	0.00%	0.00%	0.81%	Conservatives	Lean Conservatives
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
36.53%	40.05%	4.90%	3.68%	14.84%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	Labour	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
31.85%	36.09%	8.15%	4.00%	19.91%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	Labour	Too close to call Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
45.10%	40.90%	2.00%	2.30%	9.70%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	Conservatives	N/A

Alloa and Grangemouth

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Brian Leishman	Labour Party	18039
2	John Nicolson	Scottish National Party (SNP)	11917
3	Rachel Nunn	Conservative Party	3127
4	Richard Fairley	Reform UK	3084
5	Nariese Whyte	Scottish Green Party	1421
6	Adrian May	Liberal Democrats	1151
7	Eva Comrie	Independent	881
8	Kenny MacAskill	Alba Party	638
9	Tom Flanagan	Workers Party of Britain	223

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
7.18%	37.40%	2.57%	5.82%	4.23%	0.00%	35.36%	7.44%	Labour	Tossup
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
16.63%	28.09%	3.14%	8.07%	5.19%	0.00%	37.43%	1.44%	SNP	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
14.97%	36.66%	3.21%	2.93%	4.90%	0.00%	35.89%	1.45%	Labour	Too close to call Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
13.70%	32.80%	4.10%	5.00%	6.90%	0.00%	34.20%	3.30%	SNP	N/A

Altrincham and Sale West

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Connor Rand	Labour Party	20798
2	Oliver Carroll	Conservative Party	16624
3	Paul James Swansborough	Reform UK	4961
4	Jane Brophy	Liberal Democrats	4727
5	Geraldine Coggins	Green Party	3699
6	Faisal Kabir	Workers Party of Britain	643

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
31.57%	46.07%	7.75%	7.17%	6.62%	0.00%	0.00%	0.81%	Labour	Likely Labour
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
26.64%	46.65%	12.65%	3.71%	8.96%	0.00%	0.00%	1.39%	Labour	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
25.49%	50.26%	9.97%	3.48%	10.79%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	Labour	Likely Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
29.90%	46.90%	8.40%	6.30%	6.90%	0.00%	0.00%	1.60%	Labour	N/A

Alyn and Deeside

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Mark Tami	Labour Party	18395
2	Vicky Roskams	Reform UK	9601
3	Jeremy Kent	Conservative Party	7892
4	Richard Marbrow	Liberal Democrats	2065
5	Jack Morris	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	1938
6	Karl MacNaughton	Green Party	1926
7	Edwin Duggan	Independent	1575

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
22.95%	46.67%	5.88%	3.42%	12.45%	7.80%	0.00%	0.83%	Labour	Likely Labour
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
21.93%	51.27%	10.38%	0.40%	12.43%	1.44%	0.00%	2.14%	Labour	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
20.48%	50.72%	3.39%	2.56%	16.61%	6.09%	0.00%	0.15%	Labour	Strong Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
22.40%	53.40%	3.80%	5.00%	7.90%	2.70%	0.00%	4.70%	Labour	N/A

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Linsey Farnsworth	Labour Party	15746
2	Alex Stevenson	Reform UK	12192
3	Nigel Mills	Conservative Party	10725
4	Matt McGuinness	Green Party	2278
5	Kate Smith	Liberal Democrats	1590

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
35.39%	36.49%	6.55%	5.45%	15.31%	0.00%	0.00%	0.81%	Labour	Tossup
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
30.26%	38.15%	4.59%	7.69%	19.31%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	Labour	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
23.30%	45.43%	4.78%	5.08%	21.41%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	Labour	Likely Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
39.20%	43.20%	1.70%	4.60%	11.30%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	Labour	N/A

Angus and Perthshire Glens

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Dave Doogan	Scottish National Party (SNP)	19142
2	Stephen Charles Kerr	Conservative Party	14272
3	Elizabeth Carr-Ellis	Labour Party	6799
4	Kenneth Morton	Reform UK	3246
5	Claire Margaret McLaren	Liberal Democrats	3156
6	Dan Pena	Independent	733

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
28.19%	22.44%	2.44%	5.07%	3.71%	0.00%	36.61%	1.55%	SNP	Lean SNP
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
24.88%	17.09%	4.15%	0.00%	4.46%	0.00%	48.47%	0.95%	SNP	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
27.73%	28.03%	3.72%	0.00%	5.44%	0.00%	34.22%	0.86%	SNP	Too close to call SNP
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
30.70%	16.20%	6.80%	0.00%	5.30%	0.00%	38.20%	2.80%	SNP	N/A

Arbroath and Broughty Ferry

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Stephen Patrick Gethins	Scottish National Party (SNP)	15581
2	Cheryl-Ann Cruickshank	Labour Party	14722
3	Richard John Brooks	Conservative Party	6841
4	Gwen Wood	Reform UK	3800
5	David Ronald Evans	Liberal Democrats	2249
6	Ghazi Khan	Alba Party	693
7	Moira Macpherson Brown	Sovereignty	231

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
13.16%	31.82%	3.40%	5.46%	3.54%	0.00%	36.51%	6.11%	SNP	Tossup
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
16.84%	23.15%	5.26%	0.00%	2.92%	0.00%	50.74%	1.10%	SNP	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
18.59%	33.91%	5.07%	0.00%	4.82%	0.00%	36.30%	1.31%	SNP	Too close to call SNP
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
15.10%	32.30%	6.40%	0.00%	9.30%	0.00%	32.20%	4.60%	Labour	N/A

Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Brendan O\'Hara	Scottish National Party (SNP)	15582
2	Amanda Jane Hargreaves Hampsey	Conservative Party	9350
3	Hamish Maxwell	Labour Party	8585
4	Alan Reid	Liberal Democrats	7359
5	Melanie Hurst	Reform UK	3045
6	Tommy Macpherson	Independent	941

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
23.66%	22.57%	5.95%	6.47%	4.19%	0.00%	34.34%	2.82%	SNP	Likely SNP
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
23.04%	18.03%	12.42%	0.00%	5.08%	0.00%	39.27%	2.17%	SNP	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
21.36%	31.52%	11.07%	0.00%	4.98%	0.00%	30.15%	0.92%	Labour	Too close to call Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
30.50%	16.20%	10.40%	0.00%	3.60%	0.00%	37.10%	2.20%	SNP	N/A

Arundel and South Downs

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Andrew Griffith	Conservative Party	22001
2	Richard James Allen	Liberal Democrats	9867
3	Chris Philipsborn	Labour Party	9782
4	David Thomas	Reform UK	7391
5	Steve McAuliffe	Green Party	5515
6	Mike Smith	Social Democratic Party	184

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
42.78%	23.22%	18.36%	5.26%	9.58%	0.00%	0.00%	0.80%	Conservatives	Likely Conservatives
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
32.18%	25.43%	11.18%	21.64%	8.20%	0.00%	0.00%	1.36%	Conservatives	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
30.64%	30.34%	16.39%	4.57%	17.94%	0.00%	0.00%	0.12%	Conservatives	Too close to call Conservative
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
31.70%	12.60%	26.00%	17.10%	11.70%	0.00%	0.00%	0.80%	Conservatives	N/A

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Lee Anderson	Reform UK	17062
2	Rhea Keehn	Labour Party	11553
3	Jason Zadrozny	Ashfield Independents	6276
4	Debbie Soloman	Conservative Party	3271
5	Alexander Coates	Green Party	1100
6	Daniel Holmes	Liberal Democrats	619

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
17.67%	35.50%	6.53%	6.47%	20.07%	0.00%	0.00%	13.77%	Labour	Likely Labour
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
14.39%	28.02%	7.28%	3.16%	31.11%	0.00%	0.00%	16.04%	Reform	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
14.41%	33.69%	5.39%	2.66%	16.02%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	Labour	Too close to call Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
20.70%	40.90%	2.50%	8.40%	25.40%	0.00%	0.00%	2.10%	Labour	N/A

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Sojan Joseph	Labour Party	15262
2	Damian Howard Green	Conservative Party	13483
3	Tristram John Kennedy Harper	Reform UK	10141
4	Mandy Rossi	Green Party	4355
5	Adam James Rowledge	Liberal Democrats	2445
6	James Gordon Ransley	Consensus	1289

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
33.24%	37.40%	6.18%	8.86%	13.49%	0.00%	0.00%	0.83%	Labour	Tossup
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
27.25%	39.78%	9.90%	8.67%	12.92%	0.00%	0.00%	1.48%	Labour	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
30.83%	36.57%	11.07%	5.08%	16.23%	0.00%	0.00%	0.23%	Labour	Too close to call Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
33.20%	30.50%	8.10%	12.90%	14.40%	0.00%	0.00%	0.80%	Conservatives	N/A

Ashton-under-Lyne

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Angela Rayner	Labour Party	15575
2	Robert Barrowcliffe	Reform UK	8784
3	Lizzie Hacking	Conservative Party	4375
4	Aroma Hassan	Workers Party of Britain	2835
5	Lee Alan Huntbach	Green Party	2481
6	Dominic FT Hardwick	Liberal Democrats	1411

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
15.74%	57.48%	4.14%	7.74%	14.09%	0.00%	0.00%	0.82%	Labour	Safe Labour
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
17.21%	58.25%	2.83%	4.65%	13.69%	0.00%	0.00%	3.37%	Labour	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
17.56%	58.06%	4.81%	4.02%	15.55%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	Labour	Strong Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
22.60%	58.80%	2.30%	4.70%	10.30%	0.00%	0.00%	1.40%	Labour	N/A

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Laura Elizabeth Kyrke-Smith	Labour Party	15081
2	Rob Butler	Conservative Party	14451
3	Steven Lambert	Liberal Democrats	10440
4	Lesley Ann Taylor	Reform UK	6746
5	Julie Elizabeth Atkins	Green Party	2590
6	Jan Gajdos	Workers Party of Britain	516
7	Richard Lewis Wilding	Social Democratic Party	116

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
29.71%	35.98%	18.47%	6.10%	9.37%	0.00%	0.00%	0.37%	Labour	Lean Labour
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
28.38%	30.01%	20.77%	4.91%	14.61%	0.00%	0.00%	1.33%	Labour	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
29.27%	36.05%	19.08%	3.61%	11.80%	0.00%	0.00%	0.20%	Labour	Too close to call Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
35.00%	24.30%	29.10%	3.50%	5.90%	0.00%	0.00%	2.10%	Conservatives	N/A

Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Elaine Stewart	Labour Party	144930
2	Allan Dorans	Scottish National Party (SNP)	10776
3	Martin Dowey	Conservative Party	9247
4	Andrew Russell	Reform UK	3544
5	Paul Kennedy	Liberal Democrats	1081
6	Korin Matthew Vallance	Scottish Green Party	886
7	Corri Wilson	Alba Party	472

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
22.77%	31.79%	3.07%	5.14%	4.27%	0.00%	30.56%	2.41%	Labour	Tossup
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
22.65%	24.76%	2.07%	0.16%	6.00%	0.00%	42.83%	1.53%	SNP	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
25.23%	35.62%	2.74%	1.56%	4.58%	0.00%	29.50%	0.78%	Labour	Too close to call Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
19.00%	33.20%	3.40%	4.90%	6.60%	0.00%	29.70%	3.20%	Labour	N/A

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Sean Woodcock	Labour Party	18468
2	Victoria Prentis	Conservative Party	15212
3	Paul Nicholas Topley	Reform UK	6284
4	Elizabeth Adams	Liberal Democrats	4352
5	Arron John Baker	Green Party	2615
6	Cassi Bellingham	Independent	850
7	Chris Nevile	Climate Party	242
8	Declan Soper	Social Democratic Party	155

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
32.62%	38.77%	13.02%	5.40%	9.36%	0.00%	0.00%	0.83%	Labour	Lean Labour
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
28.49%	27.82%	17.65%	13.89%	10.93%	0.00%	0.00%	1.21%	Conservatives	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
26.59%	42.98%	12.84%	3.58%	13.86%	0.00%	0.00%	0.16%	Labour	Likely Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
34.80%	31.30%	20.80%	4.70%	6.30%	0.00%	0.00%	2.20%	Conservatives	N/A

Bangor Aberconwy

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Claire Hughes	Labour Party	14008
2	Catrin Elen Wager	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	9112
3	Robin Millar	Conservative Party	9036
4	John Clark	Reform UK	6091
5	Rachael Roberts	Liberal Democrats	1524
6	Petra Haig	Green Party	1361
7	Kathrine Jones	Socialist Labour Party	424
8	Steve Marshall	Climate Party	104

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
25.34%	43.37%	3.08%	3.68%	8.18%	16.18%	0.00%	0.18%	Labour	Likely Labour
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
20.42%	38.64%	9.67%	0.77%	14.21%	16.25%	0.00%	0.04%	Labour	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
15.75%	38.58%	4.36%	4.44%	10.47%	26.28%	0.00%	0.12%	Labour	Lean Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
23.50%	47.80%	4.40%	2.40%	7.20%	12.20%	0.00%	2.40%	Labour	N/A

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Nesil Caliskan	Labour Party	16227
2	Clive Peacock	Reform UK	5173
3	Simon Ronald Anthony	Green Party	4988
4	Julie Redmond	Conservative Party	4294
5	Muhammad Asim	Workers Party of Britain	3578
6	Charley Hasted	Liberal Democrats	1015
7	Dee Dias	Independent	753
8	Lucy Baiye-Gaman	Christian Peoples Alliance	449

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
11.10%	62.90%	3.58%	10.39%	10.63%	0.00%	0.00%	1.40%	Labour	Safe Labour
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
18.02%	49.66%	7.57%	5.89%	10.08%	0.00%	0.00%	8.79%	Labour	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
17.87%	66.28%	5.27%	3.58%	6.32%	0.00%	0.00%	0.68%	Labour	Strong Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
14.90%	73.80%	1.70%	3.20%	5.50%	0.00%	0.00%	0.90%	Labour	N/A

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Dan Jarvis	Labour Party	18610
2	Robert Lomas	Reform UK	10799
3	Tamas Kovacs	Conservative Party	3083
4	Tom Heyes	Green Party	1805
5	Penny Baker	Liberal Democrats	1336
6	Neil Fisher	Independent	616
7	Tony Devoy	Yorkshire Party	603
8	Janus Polenceusz	English Democrats	42

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
7.40%	48.31%	9.39%	6.29%	22.54%	0.00%	0.00%	6.09%	Labour	Safe Labour
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
8.68%	49.68%	5.84%	10.23%	23.05%	0.00%	0.00%	2.51%	Labour	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
11.72%	50.15%	4.43%	3.83%	29.61%	0.00%	0.00%	0.25%	Labour	Likely Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
15.60%	46.60%	3.60%	7.10%	26.20%	0.00%	0.00%	0.90%	Labour	N/A

2024 Results
Position	Candidate	Party	Votes
1	Stephanie Peacock	Labour Party	16399
2	David White	Reform UK	11651
3	Suzanne Pearson	Conservative Party	3247
4	Trevor Mayne	Green Party	1521
5	Simon Clement-Jones	Liberal Democrats	1172
6	Simon David Watson Biltcliffe	Yorkshire Party	716
7	Terry Robinson	Socialist Labour Party	227
8	Maxine Spencer	Patriots Alliance - English Democrats and UKIP	148

YouGov MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions June 2024

Con	Lab	LibDem	Green	Ref	PC	SNP	Other	Winner	Call
6.75%	56.42%	3.94%	6.99%	22.35%	0.00%	0.00%	3.54%	Labour	Safe Labour
Survation/Best For Britain MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 31st of May to 13th of June 2024
11.92%	48.29%	7.30%	3.96%	25.73%	0.00%	0.00%	2.81%	Labour	N/A
Savanta MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 7-18 June 2024
12.54%	49.58%	4.35%	3.66%	29.61%	0.00%	0.00%	0.27%	Labour	Likely Labour
More In Common MDR Survey Data - Voting Intentions 22nd May 2024 to 17th June 2024
14.60%	48.30%	3.20%	7.50%	25.70%	0.00%	0.00%	0.80%	Labour	N/A

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This data was compiled by Politically Inclined. If you found this data useful, please consider supporting me by buying me a coffee

This data is taken from the publically available resouces at Democracy Club Candidates, The first YouGov MRP of 2024, Survation/Best For Britain MDR Data (31st May-13th June), More In Common (MDR Survey 22nd May - 17th June) and Savanta (MDR Survey 7th-18th June 2024)

Tactical Voting Data From: StopTheTories.vote, tactical.vote and Best For Britain at GetVoting.org

This data is provided "as is" and should not be construed as a full and accurate list of MPs, Parties, Constituencies, Post Codes or tactical voting data.